Tyler Herro and The Celtics

Tyler Herro – 14 points – 4.5 rebounds – 2.5 assists – 46.2 FG% – 35.5 3PT% – 1.1 steals – 93.5 FT% – 2.5 FTA

Born: January 20, 2000
Position: Shooting Guard
Class: Freshman
Height: 6-6
Weight: 195
Wingspan: 6-4.5

Tyler Herro in his lone year at Kentucky flourished in his role as someone who mostly played shooting guard, but moonlighted at at the point. Ranking 19th in the SEC in total assists (91) and 11th in points produced (479). Despite his diminutive wingspan – it is disputed whether it is 6-3 or 6-5 – Herro managed to average a pretty solid rebounding total on the defensive glass (151). He doesn’t earn his reputation for being a hard noised, grit and grind white guy like Grayson Allen. Herro proved he could shoot and drive in his lone campaign in Lexington. A very lethal threat off the dribble the 19-year-old scores in the 86th percentile on jump shots off the dribble, according to synergy and in the 63rd percentile in the same shot unguarded.

His release is quick and a pretty sight to behold. Though his 35.5 percentage from three-point leaves people to question how he was able to carve out a reputation as a “shooter” his 93.5 free throw percentage and and his form leaves me optimistic he’ll translate well into the pro game.

It’s the little things in Herro’s game which breeds optimism from NBA scouts and why some have Herro going sooner in the draft rather than later. Equipped with a nice pump-fake and an ability to sidestep defenders, Herro can get to the charity stripe often enough to inspire confidence. He’s fairly intelligent and rarely he doesn’t make the right play and you can count on him not to resort to “Hero Ball.”

As a defender Herro grades out as average in isolation. His energy is unmatched fully aware he’ll need to compromise for his wingspan paling in comparison of his competition. This is reminiscent of Nickeil Alexander-Walker. Except where NAW comes off as a bit of a gambler Herro doesn’t hunt and can maneuver himself around screens a bit better than the Virginia Tech guard. What’ll hamper Herro though is his lack of explosiveness which’ll no doubt lead to many of his attempts to finish at the rim blocked. People compare Herro to Joe Harris, but he could get downhill rather quick. Herro doesn’t strike me as someone who can.

Herro is rather fluid in all of his mechanics, rarely does he come across as clumsy. He can find his space and rise up for what appears to be a great look. Only they don’t fall very often. If his in-game speed can improve his ability to finish with either hand near the rim will no doubt come in handy. As a ball-handler we can potentially see Herro switch to point guard as he has shown at Kentucky he can take advantage of smaller defender and make nice passes.

People often point to J.J Redick as a favorable comparison. I see Herro’s ceiling as an Avery Bradley type. Herro can fall in love with the midrange, only taking 4.5 three-point attempts this season and will need serious straightening out regarding his shot selection. We’ve seen the Celtics nearly pull their hair out with Jayson Tatum having the same issue. Herro is taller than Bradley, though with a shorter wingspan. But Bradley was someone who moonlighted at Texas as a point guard, mostly played the two and was quite the tactical defender himself. Bradley’s shooting percentages did not wow scouts and he fell right into Ainge’s lap at 19.

Stevens transformed Bradley’s offensive game over the course of a summer in the middle of his career. If Herro can average 5 or 6 attempts from beyond the arc per game he’d make them at an above-average rate. It’s debatable whether the Celtics are in a place where they can afford to give him those opportunities.

Author: sailboatstudios

Hack. Amateur. Professional quitter.

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